Contingency Planning

Buffer size should reflect the project's novelty, dependencies, and technical risk. The contingency buffer is not padding or dishonesty but an acknowledgment that complexity produces surprises. A timeline built without buffer assumes every…

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Buffer size should reflect the project's novelty, dependencies, and technical risk. The contingency buffer is not padding or dishonesty but an acknowledgment that complexity produces surprises. A timeline built without buffer assumes everything will go according to plan, which is a bet that almost always loses. Every project timeline should include a deliberate buffer for the unexpected because surprises in projects are structurally guaranteed.